Swing Trading Strategy: Momentum ES

The Momentum Trading Strategy places swing trades on the Emini-S&P Futures. This is our most successful algorithm to date and is utilized in both the S&P Crusher v3 and  The Swing Trader. This trading algorithm can also be used stand-alone, however in our opinion it is best traded as part of a larger portfolio of trading strategies as seen in the S&P Crusher or Swing Trader.
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Our lead developer reviews the details of the Momentum ES swing trading strategy in this video. Trading futures & options is not for everyone and involves substantial risk of loss. Past performance is not indicative of future performance.

ES Momentum Trading Strategy Features:

Places Swing Trades

This strategy places a relatively short term swing trade on the S&P 500 Emini’s. It can hold anywhere from 1 to 10 days. It buys when momentum is building and sells when certain targets are hit. Using our proprietary trade logic, this algorithm will attempt to predict when the market might move higher for a more sustained up move. During these cases, it will push the target out in order to capture larger gains. During cycles that are expected to be shorter in duration (such as in a sideways moving market), this algorithm will issue a sell Limit order much sooner in an attempt to “scalp” gains as the market wishes to give them.

Traded Live

The Long futures algorithm has traded live since October 2015 in various portfolios offered by algorithmictrading.net. As of 1/14/2019, the live returns seen on this algorithm (with over 3 years of trading) have exceeded the back-tested expectations.  This is rarely seen, especially with approximately 20% out-of-sample, blind walk-forward trades.

Rigorously Back-Tested 15 Years

We back-test each of our algorithms over 15 years. View the back-testing details on the combined system (as seen in the S&P Crusher or Swing Trader) or on each algorithm contained within the trading system.

Product Dashboard – S&P 500 Emini (ES) Momentum Trading Strategy

The following data is taken from compiled back-tested Tradestation reports. 

Yearly Analysis (per $20,000 traded) 
Average % gain per year 27.51%
Average $ gain per year +$5,503
Monthly Analysis (per $20,000 traded)  
Average % gain per month +2.29%
Average $ gain per month +$459
Trade Analysis (per $20,000 traded)  
Total Num Trades 1312
Trade Win Rate 76.68%
Trading Systems Which Use the Momentum Algorithm   
S&P Crusher v3 Yes
The Swing Trader Yes
Period Analyzed
Historical period analyzed 1 May 2003 – 10 Jan 2019
Traded Live Since October 2015
Slippage & Commission Used in Analysis
Commission used in all reports (Futures Trade) $6.50 per round trip trade (all-in)
Slippage used in all reports (ES) $12.50 per round trip trade
Draw-Down (per $10,000 traded)
Worst percent draw-down (closing trade to closing trade) -45.41%**
Period Seen 4/29/11-12/8/11
**Estimated draw-down based on back-testing data (see disclaimer, below). Note that heavier losses than indicated are possible.
Momentum (ES)
Instrument traded Emini S&P 500 (ES)
Outperforms during Up moving markets
Ability to hold overnight Yes
Algorithm type Momentum Swing Trade
Account Details
Minimum account size $20,000
Allocation 1 Contract per $20,000 in account
Number of algorithms traded 1
Instrument traded ES
Trades Futures Yes
Trades Options No
Account types allowed Cash, IRA, Roth IRA
Pricing
Licenses available Yes
Licensing fee Call or Contact Us for a quote

CFTC RULE 4.41: Results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown. 

Covered Call & Momentum Trading Strategy Trade List: Trading $20,000 (1 Contract)

Data assumes $20,000 starting account, trading 1 Contract. Includes slippage & commission. Results are taken from compiled back-tested/hypothetical accounts which have limitations (see CFTC RULE 4.41 below).

CFTC RULE 4.41: Results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown. 

Back-Tested Reports from Tradestation

Download back-tested data for the Momentum ES. This algorithm is traded in both The Swing Trader and S&P Crusher v3.

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