Treasury Note Trading Strategy

The Treasury Note (TY) Trading Strategy places swing trades on the Ten Year Note (TY). Since the TY typically moves inverse to the broader markets, this strategy creates a swing trade that is similar to shorting the S&P 500. This package is traded in two portfolios. The S&P Crusher v3  & The Swing Trader. This trading strategy can be traded stand-alone, however it is best traded as part of a larger portfolio of trading strategies as seen in the crusher & swing trader. This trading strategy is our best performing strategy for bear market conditions. Visit our Algorithmic Trading Design Methodology page for more information on how we implement our automated trading systems.
Treasury Note Algorithm Trading Example

Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Trading futures & options is not for everyone and involves substantial risk of loss.

Treasury Note Trading Strategy Features:

Places Swing Trades

This strategy places a longer term swing trade on the Ten Year Note (TY). It can hold anywhere from 1 to more than 60 days. It buys when momentum is building and gets out when certain targets are hit.

Performs Well In Down Moving Markets

Since the TY will usually move inverse to the S&P 500, this trading strategy has a similar effect as if we were going short the S&P 500.

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Rigorously Back-Tested 15 Years

We back-test each of our algorithms over 15 years. View the back-testing detail on our system and each algorithm.

Traded Live

The treasury note algorithm has traded live since October 2015 in various portfolios offered by algorithmictrading.net.

Product Dashboard – Treasury Note Trading Strategy

The following data is taken from compiled back-tested Tradestation reports. 

Yearly Analysis (per $20,000 traded) 
Average % gain per year 38.5%
Average $ gain per year +$7,701
Monthly Analysis (per $20,000 traded)  
Average % gain per month +3.21%
Average $ gain per month +$642
Trade Analysis (per $20,000 traded)  
Total Num Trades 264
Trade Win Rate 78.79%
Packages Which Use the Treasury Note Algorithm   
S&P Crusher v3 Yes
The Swing Trader Yes
Period Analyzed
Historical period analyzed 1 May 2003 – 10 Jan 2019
Traded Live Since December 2014
Slippage & Commission Used in Analysis
Commission used in all reports (Futures Trade) $6.50 per round trip trade (all-in)
Slippage used in all reports (TY) $24.00 per round trip trade
Draw-Down (per $10,000 traded)
Worst percent draw-down (closing trade to closing trade) -23.61%**
Period Seen 2/6/15-6/5/15
**Estimated draw-down based on back-testing data (see disclaimer, below). Note that heavier losses than indicated are possible.
Treasury Note (TY)
Instrument traded Ten Year Treasury Note (TY)
Outperforms during Sideways & Down moving markets
Ability to hold overnight Yes
Algorithm type Momentum Swing Trade
Account Details
Minimum account size $20,000
Allocation 1 Contract per $20,000 in account
Number of algorithms traded 1
Instrument traded TY
Trades Futures Yes
Trades Options No
Account types allowed Cash, IRA, Roth IRA
Pricing
Licenses available Yes
Licensing fee Call or Contact Us for a quote

CFTC RULE 4.41: Results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown. 

Treasury Note Trading Strategy Trade List: Trading $20,000 (1 Unit)

Data assumes $20,000 starting account, trading 1 Contract. Includes slippage & commission. Results are taken from compiled back-tested/hypothetical accounts which have limitations (see CFTC RULE 4.41 below).

CFTC RULE 4.41: Results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown. 

Back-Tested Reports from Tradestation

Want to see more detail on how each algorithm performs? Download back-tested data for the Treasury Note Algorithm.

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